Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.219418 0.249288 0.281301 0.318110 0.359214 0.403649 0.455269
2026-01-25 0.183466 0.224254 0.270836 0.327784 0.395332 0.472688 0.567773
2026-02-01 0.152922 0.199292 0.255258 0.327384 0.417431 0.525669 0.665099
2026-02-08 0.129696 0.179080 0.241711 0.326286 0.436730 0.575181 0.760875
2026-02-15 0.111541 0.162386 0.229844 0.324861 0.454023 0.622078 0.855607
2026-02-22 0.100013 0.152740 0.225587 0.332123 0.482175 0.683882 0.972958
2026-03-01 0.088299 0.141140 0.217003 0.331940 0.499273 0.731112 1.072946
2026-03-08 0.078662 0.131254 0.209527 0.332081 0.516043 0.778090 1.174616
2026-03-15 0.070668 0.122813 0.203105 0.332750 0.532977 0.825607 1.279102
2026-03-22 0.064891 0.117141 0.200171 0.338105 0.556771 0.883916 1.402001
2026-03-29 0.060503 0.113193 0.199431 0.346539 0.585452 0.950676 1.540664
2026-04-05 0.055653 0.107864 0.195842 0.349858 0.605951 1.005705 1.663971
2026-04-12 0.051665 0.103766 0.194161 0.356559 0.632977 1.073460 1.812611
2026-04-19 0.048506 0.100811 0.194127 0.365949 0.664946 1.150757 1.980525
2026-04-26 0.044069 0.094925 0.188335 0.364771 0.678878 1.199522 2.105019
2026-05-03 0.040070 0.089403 0.182632 0.363155 0.691714 1.246893 2.229382
2026-05-10 0.036490 0.084280 0.177145 0.361362 0.703892 1.293518 2.354538
2026-05-17 0.034428 0.082041 0.176913 0.369230 0.733705 1.371527 2.536363
2026-05-24 0.031651 0.077942 0.172632 0.368958 0.748463 1.423982 2.676579
2026-05-31 0.029189 0.074229 0.168752 0.369073 0.763781 1.477972 2.821776
2026-06-07 0.027017 0.070907 0.165345 0.369788 0.780131 1.534424 2.973729
2026-06-14 0.025500 0.068920 0.164544 0.375666 0.806691 1.610565 3.164303
2026-06-21 0.024380 0.067751 0.165377 0.384934 0.840368 1.701308 3.385310